The Leger Marketing survey: A 33% PLQ surprising but not inexplicable
Related Link: http://tvanouvelles.ca/lcn/infos/national/archives/2011/02/20110204-215954.html
80% of people are dissatisfied or very dissatisfied with Jean Charest and his government and 33% of people would vote anyway for Jean Charest will appear for you guys.
A person with the least bit sharp eye realizes that there are about 13% of liberal voters who will vote for that party in her nose and moving their bowels after vomiting. Satisfactory even when as a good deed, is not it? I hope they are aware of these dissatisfied Jean Charest they can not vote ...
course, be aware and realistic and realize that somewhere, Pauline Marois's leadership in the PQ is no stranger to this and is certainly far from unanimous it is clear. It was said that a year ago, but it must be repeated today because it's definitely true, Charest and Marois Marois maintains maintains Charest, he set the royal couple who are hand in hand leading the Quebec directly into the ravine ( question to make rhymes pockets).
To 33% PLQ is normal and I have already explained mathematically in the past by the 80/20 rule: 20% of francophones will vote for the Liberal Party and 80% of anglos and allos vote for the PLQ and it indiscriminately and quasi-systematic and that regardless of the degree or level of corruption scandals, and cachoteries butts little subtler than their own party they made them laugh in the face. So when did the math simple, it gives a 32% share the PLQ constantly and continuously with that, they are indestructible. For them, the issue of leadership change does not arise and does can not arise, as we elect a leader in the Catholic Church in PLQ: forever until either the person himself who made the decision to quit sawing. The rest of the time, the sheep follow the shepherd and his vow absolute fidelity and unconditional where the trial and independent thinking are highly and strictly prohibited within the highest levels of the party. If it happens to have a PM who makes large households and the government reshuffle 4-5 months and more, you get what you currently have.
For English and allophones, it is understandable and even if it would be much better served in a government more democratic, pluralistic and respectful of its political institutions by a real party Equality instead of being constantly taken hostage as a customer by the PLQ (that's why the Don MacPherson of this world revel in abundance in this survey fell into their son to press as the manna of Moses delivered his people who were hungry and thirsty). Do not think so deceived and so naive as that, many of them will vote Liberal with a heavy aftertaste of vomit in the mouth, aftertaste that lasts for weeks. They will be thousands elsewhere to find another way and they have two years and counting to do, Charest has explicitly said he wanted his five years in power but as it is "forgetting" of the truth (read liar), we can expect anything this wily clever Lull somnambulist living from politics.
However, where the rub to the PLQ is in the francophone vote. 44% PQ 25% PLQ, ADQ 16% and 9% QS. Now we all know, the electoral map as it is now, benefit francophone ridings in the number against the demographic weight. Yet I am a strong advocate of proportional representation and an electoral map where the constituencies reflect the actual electoral weight but knowing that the constituencies of the West Island of Montreal as a unanimous vote and almost dictatorial, I am satisfied with the current state of the card. I've always said and I still think the real separatists should consider a partition of Quebec if they want their project to succeed one day. How do you succeed when you have areas that will vote 99% for one side, it's still mathematically possible but very unlikely. Imagine, you can not get out of this entanglement in a simple ordinary election and then imagine a third referendum you guys. Besides, like their demerger in 2004, it is they who should be separate and form their own liberal dictatorship in their own country alienated from the rest of Canadian democracy because in the rest of the country (and 2006 will have proven), one is able to vote anything but Liberal and without problem. It is also able to refrain from voting when you are dissatisfied with the party and its positions and 700,000 absentee ADQ 8 December 2008 the latter will obviously proved beyond any doubt. I expect this kind of restraint on the part Liberal voters in the elections of 2013.
Another important finding lies in the survey with the famous come to party led by Francois Legault. What amazed me the statements of Jean-Marc Leger this afternoon in Laroque-Lapierre is one he made on the ADQ. The ADQ is 9% according to the survey with the new party of Francois Legault and would definitely be "dead and buried" in the words of JM however Quebec Solidarity to 8%, they are perfectly healthy, look for another error time.
There is no doubt in my mind that if this movement were to right-center rise and turn into a real party with former ADQ among its members and of course former Liberals and former PQ (I doubt it is of interest to former Quebec Solidarity whatever politics, reality is sometimes stranger than fiction) that the new party and the ADQ should sit together and negotiate the terms of a merger between the two in order not to unnecessarily separate and divide the vote center-right (and thereby the right ) because if such is the case and that, like the Progressive Conservative and Canadian Alliance took time to organize their flutes to the merger, we are seeing more of a scenario in 2000 of PLC Jean Chretien who wanted to cut the grass beneath the feet of them that the Alliance had not yet dismounted in eastern Canada (everything is in the East of Manitoba) and called an election just three years after having a majority mandate which is not as improbable as it is believed since the we see that even at its lowest popularity, Charest manages to keep his party in thirds vote of Quebecers voting and that perhaps only eternity six months would be enough to fool the tenth renewal Charest for all the naive and foolish we are to believe any charlatan who shows up at our door, we offer 10 000 potions and elixirs of life.
Definitely, this would surely be a sweet extra that Charest could seize on this new movement that would separate Legault and bicker with the ADQ for control of the center-right vote splitting bonus. This scenario would be like for my more glamorous and much brighter than the Conservatives in 1993 or 2003 that PQ stretched unnecessarily, grossly and shamefully their term of six to eight months for to fill their pockets.
Do not be fooled, historically this has never happened that a party stretched its mandate for the good of the people and sound management of public finances: NEVER!! Is that clear enough and clear it for you? It always happened because the ruling party wanted to beat knowing the coffers empty before you go: it has always been the case. And it among others for the same reasons that these parties have always lost their elections thereafter. I challenge you to find me one who has done this in the interests of the vast majority of the population, you may be surprised at the thinness of your research ...
And if you think that with the worst prime minister in Quebec life and the party's most corrupt of the time it's going to happen and a finance minister with us to bleed white his tax increases, tariffs and taxes for their household is slow in coming and will never come, the PM is growing its team to calm the internal grumbling back benchers like Alain Paquette champing at the bit since 2003 and can easily go and tell the PM: "If you do not give me a ministry right away, I return to my old job much more rewarding and you will lose your county will risk premium and find yourself a minority. " that the miracle will happen, well I'll tell you how Labeaume as well believe in Santa Claus and the Tooth Fairy.
ThinAir yours
Tym Machine
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